UK Plant Health Risk Register

Scenario and Pathways

Scenario for Risk Register

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Pest is introduced

Pathway Assessed for Entry to UK

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Plants for planting (except seeds bulbs and tubers)

Common Pathways

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Plants for planting (except seeds bulbs and tubers)
Cut flowers or branches

Risk Ratings and Current Mitigations

Unmitigated Risks

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Likelihood For "Pest is Introduced" the lowest value of Entry or Establishment, as both are required for a successful introduction. For "Pest Spreads to Maximum Extent" this is an expert judgement on the likelihood of this occurrence. See Guidance Document for more Information Likelihood [1 - 5]			3
Entry The Likelihood of movement of the pest into the UK on a pathway and transfer of that pest to a suitable host. See Guidance Document for more Information Entry [1 - 5]			3
Establishment The likelihood of the pest surviving and perpetuating in the UK for the foreseeable future after it has entered. See Guidance Document for more Information Establishment [1 - 5]				5
Spread The rate at which a pest can expand, by natural dispersal only, within an area. See Guidance Document for more Information Spread [1 - 5]				5
Impact The highest value from economic, environmental or social impacts. See Guidance Document for more Information Impact [1 - 5]				5
Impact - Economic The predicted economic impacts of the pest in the UK. This includes direct effects on yield, quality and possible indirect effects such as trade implications. See Guidance Document for more Information Impact - Economic [1 - 5]				5
Impact - Environmental The proportion of the environmental value of the plant which is likely to be lost through the introduction of the pest. See Guidance Document for more Information Impact - Environmental [1 - 5]			3
Impact - Social The predicted social impacts of a pest in the UK, including effects on tourism, amenities and animal and human health. See Guidance Document for more Information Impact - Social [1 - 5]		2
Value at Risk The value of the hosts or industries at risk from this pest in the UK. See Guidance Document for more Information Value at Risk [1 - 5]				5
Likelihood x Impact The likelihood multiplied by the impact, which shows the risk to the sector. See Guidance Document for more Information Likelihood x Impact [1 - 25]	15
UK Relative Risk Rating Likelihood x Impact x Value at Risk. See Guidance Document for more Information UK Relative Risk Rating [1 - 125]	75

Current Mitigations

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Key mitigation for pest

Regulated quarantine pest and prohibition of key pathway

Regulation

Surveillance

Industry Scheme

Contingency Plan

Awareness

Research

Mitigated Risks

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Likelihood For "Pest is Introduced" the lowest value of Entry or Establishment, as both are required for a successful introduction. For "Pest Spreads to Maximum Extent" this is an expert judgement on the likelihood of this occurrence. See Guidance Document for more Information Likelihood [1 - 5]	1
Entry The Likelihood of movement of the pest into the UK on a pathway and transfer of that pest to a suitable host. See Guidance Document for more Information Entry [1 - 5]	1
Establishment The likelihood of the pest surviving and perpetuating in the UK for the foreseeable future after it has entered. See Guidance Document for more Information Establishment [1 - 5]				5
Spread The rate at which a pest can expand, by natural dispersal only, within an area. See Guidance Document for more Information Spread [1 - 5]				5
Impact The highest value from economic, environmental or social impacts. See Guidance Document for more Information Impact [1 - 5]				5
Impact - Economic The predicted economic impacts of the pest in the UK. This includes direct effects on yield, quality and possible indirect effects such as trade implications. See Guidance Document for more Information Impact - Economic [1 - 5]				5
Impact - Environmental The proportion of the environmental value of the plant which is likely to be lost through the introduction of the pest. See Guidance Document for more Information Impact - Environmental [1 - 5]			3
Impact - Social The predicted social impacts of a pest in the UK, including effects on tourism, amenities and animal and human health. See Guidance Document for more Information Impact - Social [1 - 5]		2
Value at Risk The value of the hosts or industries at risk from this pest in the UK. See Guidance Document for more Information Value at Risk [1 - 5]				5
Likelihood x Impact The likelihood multiplied by the impact, which shows the risk to the sector. See Guidance Document for more Information Likelihood x Impact [1 - 25]	5
UK Relative Risk Rating Likelihood x Impact x Value at Risk. See Guidance Document for more Information UK Relative Risk Rating [1 - 125]	25

Proposed Actions

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Regulation

Deregulation

Management By Industry

Targeted Survey

PRA

Contingency Plan

Publicity

Research

Distribution and Pest Details

Distribution

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Country / Territory		Status
Europe
	United Kingdom	Absent
North America
	Canada	Present
	United States	Present

Type of Pest

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Insect (Lepidoptera)

Host or Industry at Risk

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Forestry

Major Hosts

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Abies alba Miller
Abies amabilis (Dougl. Ex Lood) Dougl. Ex Forbes
Abies balsamea (L.) Mill.
Abies concolor var. concolor (Gord. & Glend.)Lindl. Ex Hild.
Abies grandis (D.Don) Lindl.
Abies lasiocarpa var. lasiocarpa (Hook.) Nutt.
Juniperus L.
Larix occidentalis Nutt.
Picea abies (L.) H. Karst.
Picea engelmannii Parry Ex Engelm.
Picea glauca (Moench) Voss
Picea mariana (Mill.) Britt., Sterns & Poggenb.
Picea pungens Engelm.
Picea rubens Sarg.
Picea sitchensis (Bong.) Carr.
Pinus banksiana Lamb.
Pinus contorta Dougl. Ex Loud.
Pinus monticola Dougl. Ex D.Don
Pinus resinosa Ait./Soland.
Pinus strobus L.
Pinus sylvestris Linnaeus
Pseudotsuga menziesii var. menziesii (Mirbel) Franco
Thuja occidentalis L.
Tsuga canadensis (L.) Carr.
Tsuga heterophylla (Rafin.) Sarg.
Tsuga mertensiana (Bong.) Carr.

Threats to Protected Cultivation

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Forest Tree Pests and Pathogens

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Coniferous

Further Information

PRA

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PRA Availability

PRA not available

Regulation and EPPO listing

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Regulated quarantine pest. EPPO A1

Actions Indicated

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Action

Statutory action against findings.

General Comments

Coniferous moth pest from North America which appears well mitigated by regulation, including prohibition of host plants from its current distribution.

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Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs

Departmentfor EnvironmentFood & Rural Affairs

UK Risk Register Details for Choristoneura fumiferana

Common Names

Scenario and Pathways

Scenario for Risk Register

Pathway Assessed for Entry to UK

Common Pathways

Risk Ratings and Current Mitigations

Unmitigated Risks

Current Mitigations

Key mitigation for pest

Regulation

Surveillance

Industry Scheme

Contingency Plan

Awareness

Research

Mitigated Risks

Proposed Actions

Proposed Actions

Regulation

Deregulation

Management By Industry

Targeted Survey

PRA

Contingency Plan

Publicity

Research

Distribution and Pest Details

Distribution

Type of Pest

Host or Industry at Risk

Major Hosts

Threats to Protected Cultivation

Forest Tree Pests and Pathogens

Further Information

PRA

PRA Availability

Regulation and EPPO listing

Actions Indicated

Action

General Comments

Risk Records for this Pest

Department
for Environment
Food & Rural Affairs